Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.190406 0.216770 0.245071 0.277662 0.314111 0.353569 0.399471
2025-12-14 0.153174 0.187991 0.227881 0.276798 0.334988 0.401812 0.484163
2025-12-21 0.127430 0.166957 0.214862 0.276839 0.354499 0.448162 0.569198
2025-12-28 0.110014 0.152777 0.207250 0.281106 0.377911 0.499671 0.663483
2026-01-04 0.097515 0.142728 0.202954 0.288084 0.404175 0.555647 0.766661
2026-01-11 0.085920 0.132081 0.196169 0.290300 0.423389 0.602894 0.860918
2026-01-18 0.077492 0.124625 0.192594 0.295962 0.446947 0.656719 0.966763
2026-01-25 0.071027 0.119121 0.190951 0.303737 0.473439 0.715634 1.082683
2026-02-01 0.063361 0.110753 0.184010 0.302677 0.486432 0.755546 1.173296
2026-02-08 0.056765 0.103239 0.177477 0.301337 0.498393 0.794059 1.263402
2026-02-15 0.051048 0.096461 0.171328 0.299805 0.509518 0.831439 1.353294
2026-02-22 0.047569 0.093088 0.170311 0.306254 0.533336 0.889115 1.476744
2026-03-01 0.043106 0.087589 0.165414 0.306186 0.547159 0.932922 1.582714
2026-03-08 0.039145 0.082538 0.160772 0.306072 0.560750 0.976992 1.691446
2026-03-15 0.035723 0.078089 0.156734 0.306569 0.575227 1.023101 1.805743
2026-03-22 0.033268 0.075234 0.155296 0.311497 0.597526 1.083155 1.945866
2026-03-29 0.031408 0.073351 0.155465 0.319289 0.625246 1.153635 2.106780
2026-04-05 0.029099 0.070248 0.152967 0.321796 0.643466 1.208633 2.243944
2026-04-12 0.027414 0.068276 0.152486 0.328050 0.668823 1.277174 2.407546
2026-04-19 0.026098 0.066963 0.153188 0.336603 0.698898 1.355410 2.591602
2026-04-26 0.023975 0.063548 0.149215 0.335454 0.710328 1.400634 2.719103
2026-05-03 0.022029 0.060299 0.145271 0.333990 0.720926 1.444678 2.846283
2026-05-10 0.020248 0.057223 0.141398 0.332313 0.730877 1.487838 2.973593